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'Why Jaxon Smith - Njigba?'

Height & Weight 

6'1 -- 196lbs

 

Ascension grade

Pro-bowl ceiling

58.98 -- WR #1

 

High-end traits (80th percentile & up)

Separation quickness

Through break transitions

Catch concentration

Three level efficiency

In-air athleticism

Movement intellect

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Low-end traits (30th percentile & down)

Play strength & physicality 

Alignment versatility 

Top-end speed 

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Stylistic comparison

Doug Baldwin meshed with Marvin Jones Jr. 

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Projected role comparison

High target volume slot receiver & chain-mover  (Amon-Ra St. Brown)

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First questions asked about Smith-Njigba is can he play outside & can he beat press? Well, watch the shoulders drop with the wide-diamond shimmy at the LOS and you have your answer to the press question. 

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Can he play outside?

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Now, that's a bit trickier. Vertically, he will have trouble running away from cornerbacks. Long gains are capped because of his lack of top-end speed. I envision a role more like we see with St. Brown in Detroit or Allen in Los Angeles - high volume slot receiver who is a primary target on important downs. 

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To reiterate - on third downs he is a primary target because of the timing of his routes and how consistently he finds soft spots in a defense.

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JSN deploys a variety of skips, hops and stutters in his toolbox of releases and transitions. 

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Adept at changing direction & accelerating out of whichever he deploys. 

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Similar post-catch skillset to what we see in-route. Simple large angle changes and timing to win when the ball is in his hands. 

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Flashes big opportunity inside - defenders bites - goes opposite. 

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The art of timing. 'When to deploy what' This is how JSN wins all over the field and we see it time and time again.

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Simple RPO with a designed flare to JSN. 

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Watch the angle changes and ability to bend path here - cool stuff to see post-catch from him. Able to also negate the contact of #44 by turning shoulders slightly towards the boundary.

 

We see this a ton with Tyler Lockett in Seattle who is an expert in avoiding collisions. 

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In terms of tracking & locating flight paths JSN is in elite company. While he may not have the vertical speed of a Quentin Johnston, he does offer teams the ability to make difficult receptions look rather routine. 

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Late hands and the control to contort & adjust. 

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A big reason JSN is so lethal from the slot is how he can win with variety when given a two-way go. 

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Has a broad toolbox he can used to slip inside or stack defenders vertically. 

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At the top of routes his abrupt capabilities in deceleration are a lot to handle. 

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Can sink & turn instantaneously on stop patterns. 

Expectations & Range of outcomes

Safest bet for early career production in this draft cycle along with Jordan Addison. Day one starter in the slot with room to grow into a true three-level role. The big questions with JSN are:

 

1 - Is he 100% healthy / will he ever be?

2 - Does he have the play speed to win consistently on the outside?

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I do not know the answer to either, but I feel a lot better about #2. The nature of his injury is puzzling because there had to be a good amount of tendon damage to be unable to return to play. Listening for if there was surgery involved, which would be an 'off-bone' tear - most severe type that takes up to 16 months to return to full performance. 

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Capital will be a good indication of medicals, and if he checks out - he is the first receiver I am taking in dynasty drafts this Spring.

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